Many of us true gamblers would just love to find a guaranteed roulette winning strategy and there are lots claiming this all over the internet. Usually they’ll come in extremely expensive documents or reports but just as likely found free on a simple web page leading to a casino site. In my experience these are so-called secret strategies are usually based on the Martingale system.

The Martingale system was first used by French and German gamblers in the eighteenth century so by now there are many, many variances. The absolute simplest version though I’m sure you will have come across before. The idea is best explained by analysing a simple toss of the coin - you bet on heads initially and if you lose you continue to back ‘heads’ but double your stake each time. This in theory would eventually lead to a win and a recover of all the previous stakes. In practice it usually leads to very large losses as the stake exponentially rises.

The Martingale system is actually extremely loosely based on a mathematical assumption called the “Gamblers Fallacy” which basically concludes that past events can affect future results. Or in to explain in English if heads has come up 10 times in a row - the next toss is more likely to come up tails - this I’m afraid is not true as the previous ten results have no bearing on the next toss at all. Even if the ball on a casino wheel landed in red 25 times consequently - the odds are still 50/50 (minus the 0 or house edge) on the next spin.

Even if you actually believe in the martingale system or some of it’s strange variants - it would be difficult to apply nowadays as even if you could afford it most casinos have limits on each bet which would prevent it. Most casinos have never actively deterred using Martingale though simply because they don’t lose by it. Each roulette winning strategy should be studied in the cold light of statistics before you spend any money on it.

Of course statistics can only really be applied to the above situations where an event is truly random - the spin of a roulette wheel has so many outside factors affecting it that it extremely close to being completely random. An online roulette wheel is a different matter though as the spin is controlled by a computer.

Computers have always had a problem generating random numbers purely because they are programmed and so are always following deterministic code. All online casinos are run via computer algorithms and therefore are only as random as the underlying software.

John Greenhoff is an Internet entrepreneur and SEO Specialist. He’s working on becoming a full time professional gambler.

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Best of Luck

John